AT 7:43 P.M. ET: This is fascinating. To our knowledge, it is the first informed projection of how the 2010 census will affect the makeup of Congress...assuming we get an honest count. But, given the fact that, from small ACORNs mighty corruption grows, that is a major assumption. From The Politico:
Texas stands to be the big winner after next year’s decennial reapportionment, with two political analysis firms projecting that the Lone Star State will gain at least three new congressional seats for the 2012 elections.
The big loser from the analysis is Ohio, which looks likely to lose two House seats in 2012 — the only state with that dubious distinction.
The analysis, from the political firms Polidata and Election Data Services, predicts eight states will gain an additional House seat: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Nevada, South Carolina, Texas, Utah and Washington.
The states that would lose House seats are: Illinois, Iowa, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, New Jersey, New York, Ohio (2) and Pennsylvania.
Looks good to us:
The projections offer some long-term encouragement for Republicans. President Barack Obama won nine of the 10 states slated to lose seats, and Democrats hold congressional delegation majorities in all but one (Louisiana).
"Based upon the results of the 2008 election for president but with the electoral vote for the 2012 election, the Republicans would see a slight gain under the projected apportionment of 7 votes," Polidata's Clark Bensen told POLITICO on Thursday. "Twelve of the 18 states with shifts voted for Obama in 2008 while 6 voted for McCain. Nine of the 12 Obama states would lose seats, while five of the six McCain states would gain."
COMMENT: Great. Let's get those moving vans going.
December 24, 2009 |