William Katz:  Urgent Agenda

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MASSACHUSETTS UPDATE – AT 3:07 P.M. ET:  Here is the latest polling information, as of this minute:

RealClearPolitics is publishing four polls, all taken through yesterday.  They show Brown plus 10, Brown plus seven, Brown plus five, and a tie.  The tie was reported by the Daily Kos poll.  Okay, don't laugh.  It's taken by Research 2000, and is considered a serious poll.  Averaging the polls, Brown is ahead by 5.5 points.  While respectable, it is far from a guarantee. 

However, Politico is reporting this:

A Suffolk University survey of three bellwether counties found Brown "surging," according to pollsters, and leading by double digits in all three.

That last report is sweet music. 

We continue to monitor.  We haven't yet seen a last-minute poll by Rasmussen.  We assume that's coming.

January 18,  2010