William Katz:  Urgent Agenda

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FIRST RASMUSSEN POST-CONVENTION RESULTS – AT 9:41 A.M. ET:  We stress that these are post-convention results, not a report of post-convention polling.  From Rasmussen, just posted:

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 45% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns 44% of the vote. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided.

Today is the first time Romney has held the advantage in a week.  Forty-four percent (44%) of voters now see Obama as Very Liberal, and 30% see Romney as Very Conservative.

This update is based on nightly interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. As a result, nearly all of the interviews were conducted before Mitt Romney’s speech to the Republican National Convention last night. Some interviews for today’s update were conducted before the prime-time speeches on the first night of the convention. However, the daily tracking so far does indicates that Romney has received a modest “bounce” from the convention. It will take another few days to fully measure the size of that bounce and another week to measure the Obama “bounce” from the Democratic convention.

COMMENT:  And in two weeks the conventions will have been forgotten.  I suspect that "bounces" this year will be less than usual because there is so little convention coverage by the major networks.  The days of wall-to-wall coverage are long gone. 

Another, much smaller poll among 300 likely voters, done by an obscure polling firm, shows Romney up five since the convention began.  We'll await the major polls. 

By the way, we've just noticed a story that the Dems are adding women to their convention lineup.  That means they're concerned that their "Republican war on women" line has fallen flat, and that their advantage among women, particularly single women, may be eroding. 

August 31, 2012