THE POLL MIX – AT 10:29 A.M. ET: Today's poll reports reflect reactions to the Supreme Court Obamacare decision, but also show a concerning trend in the presidential race.
We've noticed, in the last week or so, a steady improvement in President Obama's standing in the Rasmussen presidential tracker. Today Obama leads by two points, whereas Romney was up by five about a week ago. However, the numbers, 46-44% Obama, still show the president performing below the 50% mark. From Rasmussen:
The president’s is enjoying a modest bounce following the Supreme Court ruling on the health care law. This is the first time he has held the lead on consecutive days in more than a month.
We'd also point out that Romney hasn't made much news, and that the media, especially after the Court ruling, went into full in-the-tank-for-Obama mode. That will only get worse.
Gallup is out with a poll on public reaction to the Court's decision:
PRINCETON, NJ -- Americans are sharply divided over Thursday's Supreme Court decision on the 2010 healthcare law, with 46% agreeing and 46% disagreeing with the high court's ruling that the law is constitutional. Democrats widely hail the ruling, most Republicans pan it, and independents are closely divided.
When asked what they want Congress to do now that the high court has upheld the 2010 law, 31% say they would repeal the law entirely and 21% would keep the law in place but repeal parts of it. A quarter of Americans swing in the other direction, saying they would like Congress to pass legislation to expand the government's role in healthcare beyond what the current law does. Thirteen percent want to keep the law in place and do nothing further.
Four in five Americans tell Gallup they will take candidates' views on healthcare reform into account to at least some degree when voting for major political offices this fall. This includes 21% who say they will vote only for a candidate who shares their views on healthcare reform and 59% who say healthcare will be just one of many important factors they will consider when voting. A relatively small 12% say healthcare reform will not be a major factor in their vote.
COMMENT: The Gallup survey was taken among "adults," not even registered voters and not "likely" voters. Polls taken among "adults" tend to tilt Democratic, so the figures among likely voters will probably be more negative toward the Court's decision and Obamacare in general.
June 30, 2012