William Katz: Urgent Agenda
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WHERE THE RACE STANDS – AT 10:34 A.M. ET: The Rasmussen daily tracker has the race at 50% Romney, 47% Obama, a gain of one for Obama. But again Romney hits the magic 50% number.
Please note that the "sixties generation" is now heavily for Romney, so there's hope for this country.
Final popular-vote results often mimic the approval/disapproval numbers. Based on what we've seen, Rasmussen's numbers, the most accurate in 2008, seem about right again. As we've noted, though, the only thing that counts is the Electoral College. We have no late trends to report. We're hoping for a final-week surge for Romney, which is based on history. Toward the end of a race the "undecideds," and I include in that the "persuadables," usually break heavily for the challenger. One sad note to report: It now appears that major moonbat Elizabeth Warren has a solid lead over Republican Senator Scott Brown in Massachusetts. It is incredible to me that a woman like Warren, with her history of dishonesty, can be elected. And I hate to see the loss of a Republican Senate seat. We will lose another in Maine with the retirement of Olympia Snowe. The independent former governor, Rufus King, is in the lead. He is expected to side with the Dems if elected. And in Connecticut, the hope that this blue state would elect a Republican, Linda McMahon, to replace the great, retiring Joe Lieberman, seems to be getting rocky. Connecticut is returning to form. Independent Lieberman, essentially expelled from the Democratic Party for supporting the Iraq war, often sides with the GOP, especially on national-security issues. That would be a loss of, say, two and a half for the GOP in New England, essentially dashing hopes for a Republican takeover of the Senate. Those dreams were not enhanced by some goofball GOP candidates in other states, who may well lose what were easily safe GOP victories. The greatest danger of continued Dem control of the Senate is the Senate's ability to confirm Supreme Court nominees. Should Obama be re-elected, watch out. On the other hand, the House seems safely in Republican hands. So I think it will be very difficult, again should Obama be re-elected, to get any major legislation through Congress. Sadly, the same is true if Romney is elected, because of the Senate. October 28, 2012
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