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Scene above: Constitution Island, where Revolutionary War forts still exist, as photographed from Trophy Point, United States Military Academy, West Point, New York Please note that you can leave a comment on any of our posts at our Facebook page. Subscribers can also comment at length at our Angel's Corner Forum.
MARCH 3, 2011 LIBYA UPDATE – AT 11:58 P.M. ET: There is a haze over news from Libya. We know there is fighting going on, we know there is diplomatic activity, but we're not sure of exactly what is happening or whether positions taken by various nations are shifting. Within Libya there is news of a provisional council being established in rebel-held areas. The council is the first political coming together of dissident elements. But we're not sure how much strength it has, exactly whom it represents, or whether the Libyan people accept it. Outside Libya, Venezuelan buffoon-in-chief Hugo Chavez attempted to intervene to help his friend Qaddafi by offering to set up negotiations between the Libyan dictator and the opposition, but the opposition quickly, and correctly, rejected the idea. For Americans, the key question is what will Obama do. Secretaries Gates and Clinton have made it clear that we are very reluctant to intervene militarily, especially since, as Clinton points out, we aren't exactly sure who the opposition is. Obama certainly doesn't want to run for office next year having pulled a Jimmah Carter, and pushed one dictator out, as Carter did in Iran, simply to find a worse one take his place. But the president seems to be moving closer to considering some military role, if Libya grows into a humanitarian disaster. From WaPo:
COMMENT: Pretty good words from Obama, but essentially toothless right now. The great Fouad Ajami of Johns Hopkins was on CNN tonight, and he quoted a line from Lyndon Johnson: "Don't tell a man to go to hell unless you're prepared to send him there." Johnson was rewriting the great line, from Emerson, that if you strike at the king, you must kill him. American policy is evolving. It is reactive right now, reacting to developments in Libya itself. This whole situation can be over in days, but can stretch to weeks or even months. March 3, 2011 Permalink WISCONSIN MOVES SYMBOLICALLY ON ABSENTEE DEM SENATORS – AT 7:37 P.M. ET: The Wisconsin state senate is trying to pressure Democratic senators to return. Some 14 of them fled to Illinois and other foreign countries to prevent the Wisconsin senate from voting on Governor Scott Parker's bill reining in the power of public-employee unions:
COMMENT: It may be only symbolic, but it does put pressure on the escapees. They can't sneak back into Wisconsin safely to visit their homes or their girl friends. The public-employee unions are apparently counting on public sympathy to force the governor to back down. And there is sympathy, measured in the polls, for unions to retain the right of collective bargaining. But polls also show that the public wants real concessions and budget cutting. There is speculation that Walker will be forced to back down. I doubt that. He was very firm when he was Milwaukee county executive. He tends to be a fighter. Now he's fighting not only Wisconsin unions, but their allies from all over the country. March 3, 2011 Permalink FIGHT FIERCELY HARVARD – AT 7:16 P.M. ET: Harvard University is welcoming ROTC back to campus, in a distinct victory for rationality and maturity, two traits not always in great supply on today's campuses. From AP:
COMMENT: Drew Faust has turned out to be a solid president of Harvard. She kept her word on ROTC, which is commendable. The battle is far from won. There is still fierce resistance to ROTC at some schools, especially Columbia, where Lenin's children, including some on the faculty, regularly crawl out of their bunkers to confront the American militaristic, imperialist machine and its corporate lapdogs. One faculty group recently issued a brave statement in favor of ROTC, whereas another issued one opposing it. The opponent list was heavy with representatives of the anthropology department, known for its belief that Stalin was a capitalist stooge, and Middle East studies, known for its swell parties marking Muammar al-Qaddafi's birthday. Among the arguments the Columbia faculty opponents raised was their concern that ROTC still discriminated...on the basis of age and physical disability. I am not kidding. They actually argued that. Apparently, these apparatchiks won't be happy until ROTC accepts 55-year-old cadets with 20/800 vision who dream of being snipers. Columbia will make a decision soon. I think they should vote on May Day, as the oppponents will be giddy with proletarian joy. March 3, 2011 Permalink WHERE OBAMA STANDS – AT 9:54 A.M. ET: A new poll shows the president losing the bounce he received late last year, but don't underestimate him. From The Politico:
By comparison, Rasmussen reports today that 45% of Americans approve of the president's performance, while 54% disapprove. Rasmussen has generally registered higher disapproval ratings for Obama than other polls. COMMENT: While these numbers are not great for the president, they aren't all that bad. The president's 2012 situation is far from desperate. If the GOP nominates a terrific candidate in that year, he (or she) could give Obama quite a difficult time. But if the Republicans nominate a so-so candidate, it shouln't be too difficult for Obama, a much better candidate than he is a president, to pull up to 50%, and a narrow victory. The Republicans need some old-fashioned excitement. We have argued here before that they should look behind the obvious candidates, something the party has, historically, been reluctant to do. Traditionally, Republicans nominate the guy who's next in line, living or dead. March 3, 2011 Permalink LIBYA TODAY – AT 9:02 A.M. ET: The revolution in Libya is taking on the characteristics of a civil war, rather than a brief rebellion, which was the Egyptian model. And the dictator is proving difficult to dislodge. Western countries face painful decisions, with no guaranteed outcomes, if the fighting goes on in the oil-rich country. From Fox:
And...
COMMENT: The administration, speaking especially through Defense Secretary Bob Gates, is making it plain that it doesn't want to get dragged into another conflict. We are stuck, literally, between the proverbial rock and the hard place. If we intervene militarily, we can appear to be Western imperialists trying to shape a new Libya to our own liking. Al Qaeda's propagandists could have a field day, and our side can still lose. On the other hand, if we fail to act, and Qaddafi remains in power, we will come off as weak and unprincipled, unconcerned about the people of the Arab world as long as the oil flows. One problem the administration has is actually identifying who the opposition is, not only in Libya, but in much more important Egypt. There are already some very disturbing signs that the Muslim Brotherhood is starting to assert itself in Egypt, demanding, for example, the resignation of clerics it does not support. There are disturbances in other Arab countries, like Bahrain, Jordan, and Yemen. There are also continued, but small, disturbances in Iran. But – and I think this is fascinating – the governments of those countries have thus far not been toppled. It is quite possible that, over the weeks ahead, we will wind up with exactly the same autocrats in power as we had a month ago, with only the governments of Tunisia and Egypt changing hands, and with uncertain results in those two countries. Please recall that there was a revolt against Soviet rule in Hungary in 1956, and in Czechoslovakia in 1968, surrounded by much hoopla and talk of freedom, but with no change in the ruling structure. Revolutions are not easy, especially when the government starts shooting back. March 3, 2011 Permalink BETTER JOB PROSPECTS? – AT 8:48 A.M. ET: From Bloomberg:
COMMENT: Good news for the economy, and also for Barack Obama, as we move into the 2012 election cycle. If unemployment starts to drop seriously, it will be a powerful boost for his reelection chances. However, these figures are far from spectacular, and we would have to examine the trend over months. Also, the information out today doesn't tell us what kind of jobs are being created, and at what level. Ronald Reagan's classic question, "Are you better off today than you were four years ago?" still applies. Many workers may be taking jobs at incomes below what they'd received before, which is not economic progress. The jury is still out. But look to the mainstream media to spin economic news as favorably as they can, the better to help Obama cling to office. March 3, 2011 Permalink TERROR SUSPECT IN GERMANY IDENTIFIED – AT 8:36 A.M. ET: Suspicions that the gunman who allegedly killed two American G.I.'s in Germany yesterday appear to be confirmed. From CNN:
COMMENT: One of the greatest fears of American counterterrorism experts is the lone wolf attack launched by a well-armed individual who operates essentially on his own, although his views have been shaped by radical Islam. One major purpose of terrorism is to terrorize, and, while an individual might not do massive damage with a personal attack, he (or she) could terrorize a city or even the nation. Think of the impact on the air system if a lone wolf brought down an airliner over an American city. First things first: Let's see if the Obama administration, at its highest levels, will acknowledge the ideology behind the attack in Germany, or will pull another Fort Hood – just a disturbed guy with no beliefs. March 3, 2011 Permalink
MARCH 2, 2011 REOPEN PAN AM 103 CASE? – AT 10:30 P.M. ET: Recent comments by defecting Libyan officials about the bombing of PanAm 103 in 1988 have led to some initial actions by the U.S. Government. From Fox:
COMMENT: I've always believed that the PanAm 103 case was covered, right from the start, by a layer of sleaze. The attack occurred just days before Ronald Reagan left office. The new president, George H.W. Bush, who, unlike his son, saw the Mideast primarily as a place to get oil profits, never showed much interest in the terrorist attack. Even relatives of the victims who'd met with Bush described him as very cold. There seemed to be a great sigh of relief from various political and commercial establishments when Scotland convicted one Libyan sucker for the entire operation. But common sense tells us he didn't go out and do it as a lark, or to get extra credit in terrorism class. Something that momentous – the downing of an American-flagged airliner – had to have Qaddafi's approval. We and the British just looked the other way. A barrel of oil can buy a lot of indifference. A hundred barrels can buy a birthday party for Qaddafi. We welcome the new attention to the case, but I doubt if we'll ever have Qaddafi in custody. I take him at his word that he'll go down fighting. March 2, 2011 Permalink MORE CHRISTIE – AT 9:33 P.M. ET: There is more yapping about Chris Christie as a possible presidential candidate. He keeps denying he's in, or will get in...but he keeps talking about it, and that feeds the yapping. From NBC News:
WHOOPS! That's about a 95% on the amateur meter. You never say you're not ready. It's the kind of quote that gets hung around your neck if you wind up with the nomination. From this point forward, Christie must be very careful about not saying anything that can be used against him. He has to be read his political Miranda rights. That having been said, there is a gut feeling in the Republican Party that the usual bench of candidates doesn't contain anyone sufficiently juicy to take on Obama. I have doubts about Christie's boxing-ring manner, but the man is alive and exciting, and he's doing a great job. He has also been discussing the presidency more and more, and has spoken out on national issues. Maybe he will reassess his readiness, and explain that what he really meant was that he wasn't ready to run because he didn't have enough suits, or charged batteries for his laptop. This will be a fascinating story if none of the other candidates catches fire. March 2, 2011 Permalink
TWO GI's MURDERED IN GERMANY – AT 8:45 P.M. ET: Two American soldiers, about to be assigned to war zones, were shot to death by a presumed terrorist in Germany today. From ABC News:
COMMENT: ABC News deserves praise for putting the gunman's rant – "Allahu Akbar" – right in the first paragraph. The New York Times buried it deep in their story. CNN didn't include it at all. The Washington Post, shockingly, hasn't run the story on its website. Now let us see if we have another Fort Hood moment. You'll recall that after the Fort Hood massacre in 2009, even our own Defense Department jumped through hoops to avoid dealing with the shooter's Islamist ideology. The chief of staff of the Army, who should have been replaced, worried out loud that the incident might increase ill feeling toward Muslim troops. Political correctness won the moment. Well, two more families are being notified today about the deaths of loved ones at the hands of what clearly appears to be an ideology-inspired terrorist. How much truth do you think we'll get? March 2, 2011 Permalink WAKE-UP CALL...ABOUT THE 5,000th – AT 9:51 A.M. ET: Another gross airline screening failure shows just how close we are to a potential disaster. From the New York Post:
COMMENT: I just don't know how any agency can explain this away. Boxcutters are easily detected by screening equipment. And it wasn't just one person who messed up. It was at least three. There have been serious questions raised about the competence of the people hired by TSA. These are low-paying jobs, and tediously boring as well. Terrorists are constantly testing the system, and trying to develop new ways to beat it. Here, a guy wasn't even trying, had obvious boxcutters, and zipped right through. We've had several very close calls in recent years – the Christmas airline bomber, the Times Square bomber, and, no doubt, others we haven't heard about. This incident is not reassuring. March 2, 2011 Permalink COMBAT IN OHIO – AT 9:24 A.M. ET: With so much attention on the convulsions in Wisconsin, centered in Lenin-loving Madison, we've been ignoring the public-union fight in Ohio. No state is more important in presidential elections than the swing state of Ohio, and newly elected Governor John Kasich is already a national figure. Combat is near, as the Washington Post points out:
And...
Michigan and California are political poster children for liberal states. California is in particularly bad shape. If Kasich can rescue Ohio, count him as national contender. If he can't, it's back to Fox News as a regular commentator. March 2, 2011 Permalink GOIN' HOLLYWOOD – AT 9:07 A.M. ET: Chris Dodd, the ethically challenged former senator from Connecticut, has a new job that will make full use of his dubious talents:
Get this, on Dodd's predecessor in the job, former Congressman Dan Glickman, who didn't make the cut:
COMMENT: Hollywood is known for cutthroat tactics, deception and ego. Washington is known for... Well, Chris fits right in. March 2, 2011 Permalink COMBAT IN LIBYA – AT 8:37 A.M. ET: The conflict in Libya is taking on a distinct international angle, as it becomes clear that intervention may be the only course that will prevent a massive bloodbath and the suppression of the revolt. From WaPo:
And...
We are on the spot, whether we want to be or not. If we act militarily, there are certainly risks. But if we fail to act, and Gaddafi wins, it will have a devastating impact on our international influence, and may well mean the end for the freedom revolutions going on throughout the Middle East. The Washington Post's Jackson Diehl reports on some congressional frustration over American inaction:
Whether you think we should intervene or not, it's great to hear someone with spine speak up. Joe Lieberman said:
Absolutely correct. This may well be a defining moment for the United States, as well as for the Middle East. I see no great sense of urgency coming from the White House. March 2, 2011 Permalink
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