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Scene above: Constitution Island, where Revolutionary War forts still exist, as photographed from Trophy Point, United States Military Academy, West Point, New York Please note that you can leave a comment on any of our posts at our Facebook page. Subscribers can also comment at length at our Angel's Corner Forum
JANUARY 25, 2012 SHORT TAKES ON THE DRIFTING WRECKAGE – AT 7:49 P.M. ET: CONVERSION – Liam Neeson says he is considering abandoning his Catholic faith and converting to Islam. He apparently got the idea while filming in Turkey and hearing all the calls to prayer. Convert to Islam? An actor? In Islam they call this a coming to the faith. In Hollywood they call it a career ender. THE GREAT PHILOSOPHER SPEAKS – Fidel Castro has rendered his opinion on the 2012 Republican presidential contest, calling it “the greatest competition of idiocy and ignorance that has ever been." This is in contrast to the wise policies Castro has enacted in Cuba, keeping hundreds of thousands of political prisoners in jail, maintaining a complete dictatorship for more than half a century, and aligning Cuba with such winners as Soviet Russia, the mullahs of Iran, and Hugo Chavez of Venezuela. GINGRICH SLIPS BACK – The topsy turvy GOP race just got topsier and turvier. Late polls now show Mitt Romney either catching up to Newt Gingrich in Florida, or going ahead of him. Romney has engaged in a sustained TV attack on Gingrich, and it's beginning to bite, just as it bit in Iowa. In addition, a number of conservative pundits are expressing reluctance about Newt, and that apparently is having an effect. One well-known writer, R. Emmett Tyrrell Jr., is referring to him as William Jefferson Gingrich, which is not meant as a compliment. Further, opposition research on Gingrich is reaching its peak, revealing a man with a sharp tongue who's made many enemies, and who engaged in some spirited attacks on...Ronald Reagan. WE SAW NOTHING – A stunning new poll in Germany reports that one in five young Germans has no idea that Auschwitz was a Nazi death camp, and that one third of Germans do not know that Auschwitz is in today's Poland. January 25, 2012 Permalink
QUOTE OF THE DAY – AT 9:18 A.M. ET: – From British writer Nile Gardiner, in the Daily Telegraph, on President Obama's State of the Union message:
And, by contrast, Gardiner quotes Ronald Reagan, in one of his State of the Union messages. What a difference:
COMMENT: Like Ronald Reagan, President Obama is a fine speaker. The difference is in the substance. Reagan understood his country and its place in history. Obama doesn't. Reagan understood that Americans strive for something greater than material goods. Obama doesn't. Republicans can capitalize on the depressing nature of the Obama presidency...if they can get their act together. So far that's been a vain hope, but we can be optimists and hope that some political deliverance is in store for us sometime later in this campaign. January 25, 2012 Permalink
DO NOT INVITE ME, PLEASE – AT 8:47 A.M. ET: We've all had this experience: We hear of a party, and we hope we're not invited. The people. The noise. The phoniness. The boredom. There are times you just want to stay home and watch a Hitchcock movie. I had that same sensation when reading this, about a party in Davos, Switzerland, where the mighty and the shallow of the Earth are meeting to contemplate our economic future:
COMMENT: I have personally instructed members of my family to screen my mail and incoming electronic messages for any hint of an invitation to said events, especially the dinner. If such hints are forthcoming, they are to be kept from my eyes. Can you think of anything so dull as the publisher of the failing New York Times holding a dinner in Switzerland to introduce his new editor, whose major claim to fame is co-authoring a hit book on Clarence Thomas? I'm not worried. I don't think I'm on the invite list. I'm going into New York this week to have a hamburger with my younger daughter, and that's far more important...and interesting. January 25, 2012 Permalink
IRAN ON THE BRINK – AT 8:12 A.M. ET: While we're fighting an election, the confrontation with Iran is still building. New sanctions are going into effect. They're hurting the Iranian economy. But are they having the desired effect? The New York Times provides a surprisingly clear summary of where we are, and aren't:
COMMENT: The fact is that we've made, essentially, no progress in all the years of discussing the Iranian nuclear program. There may well be new talks with Iran – talks are a great stalling tactic – but Iran is relentlessly pursuing nuclear development. It would be utterly reckless to assume that its intentions are peaceful. President Obama assures us that we will prevent Iran from getting a nuclear weapon. How? The best thing that could happen would be regime change. We had a chance at that in 2009 when democracy demonstrators took to the streets in a preview of the "Arab spring," but the president of the United States couldn't be bothered to give them any encouragement. Now the democracy movement seems utterly suppressed. This will be the year of Iran in foreign policy. It's now widely believed that an Iranian bomb will change the whole balance of the region. We have not found an answer short of a massive military strike, and we recognize the great instability such a strike would bring. For Americans a key question is this: Will Obama pull an October surprise with Iran? Military action of some kind, even a naval blockade, could guarantee his re-election, although he'd lose Michael Moore's vote. And we must ask this question: How will events in Syria affect Iran's nuclear program? Syria is Iran's strongest Arab ally. If the Syrian regime collapses, will the Iranian mullahs be frightened enough to start making compromises? Or will they do something crazy and rash to prove their virility? Dull year, isn't it? And we're cutting our defenses. January 25, 2012 Permalink
THE NEWT SURGE CONTINUES – AT 7:49 A.M. ET: He's like the Energizer bunny. Newt Gingrich just continues to move. He has devastated Mitt Romney's lead in national polls, according to Gallup:
And...
COMMENT: We are six days away from the Florida primary, although many voters have already voted, given Florida's advance voting system. New polls show Newt leading Romney, although Romney led substantially only a few weeks ago. We commented yesterday on the "Republican crisis," and it continues. The party is having trouble deciding between two flawed candidates, and I still maintain that there may well be a movement to bring in someone who is not yet running. January 25, 2012 Permalink
JANUARY 24, 2012 SHORT TAKES ON THE DRIFTING WRECKAGE – AT 11:39 P.M. ET: THE SPEECH – Oh, I guess the State of the Union message was delivered tonight. It will be forgotten by tomorrow, this time. These SOTU speeches get great publicity, but I can't actually recall any. Obama laid out his basic theme – narrowing economic unfairness, and I can't deny that it's an appealing theme. Mitt Romney, in an act of exquisitely bad timing, released his tax returns today, showing a mammoth income from investments, something that played right into Obama's hands. Actually, I thought the most important line in Obama's speech came when he threatened colleges with reduction in federal aid if they didn't keep students' costs down. It's about time. A RISING ISSUE – In a remarkable statement that is bound to become controversial, the archbishop of New York, Timothy Dolan, who will become a cardinal next month, slammed President Obama's health care policies, under which the Catholic church will be forced to cover its employees for birth control. This issue may catch fire, for the Obama administration's position represents a remarkable intrusion in the affairs of religious groups. “The government doesn’t have the right to butt into the internal governance and teachings of the church,” Dolan said. NO MORE ENDORSEMENTS – The Chicago Sun-Times has announced that it will no longer endorse candidates for political office, including the presidency. The paper cited the multitude of information sources available to voters, diminishing the importance of endorsements. I think it's a good move, although endorsements for smaller, local offices can be helpful to voters who haven't followed those races. However, endorsements for major offices have always been overrated. In 1936 more than 80% of American newspapers endorsed Republican Governor Alf Landon for president, rather than incumbent Franklin D. Roosevelt. Roosevelt won in a landslide anyway. QUOTE OF THE DAY – “The extremism that stifles the development of homegrown energy, or cancels a perfectly safe pipeline that would employ tens of thousands, or jacks up consumer utility bills for no improvement in either human health or world temperature, is a pro-poverty policy." From Governor Mitch Daniels of Indiana, who delivered the Republican response to the president's State of the Union message. January 24, 2012 Permalink
DRAFT JEB? – AT 8:14 P.M. ET: Do you know Artur Davis? He's a terrific, former Democratic congressman from Alabama, an African American, who's moved increasingly to the right since leaving office. He is regarded as a heretic by some in the Democratic Party and the black establishment. Won't go along with the party line. We've commented here on the frustration and sense of pessimism within the Republican Party over the presidential contest. Artur Davis, in National Review, offers a way out. He wants the GOP to draft former Governor Jeb Bush of Florida. Davis notes that in 1972, another unpopular president, Richard Nixon, simply waited for the opposition party to self-destruct. It did. The Democrats nominated fringe candidate George McGovern and Nixon won in a landslide:
Hmm. Fascinating.
Davis lists the Bush advantages, including his ability at coalition building, and concludes:
COMMENT: By all means, read the whole piece. I think it's intriguing that Bush has refused to endorse any candidate in the Florida primary, which will be held Tuesday. Many expected him to endorse Romney. By refusing to endorse, he's kept his options open. The main objection to Bush is that he's a Bush, brother of one president, son of another. We don't do dynasties in America, and the Dems will exploit the family connection. Bush could, of course, counter with the Kennedy and Roosevelt stories. Bush was a fine governor, left with high approval ratings, and is married to a Hispanic woman. He is received warmly in the Hispanic community. Artur Davis has broken some ground here. I don't know how far his argument can go, and it's always possible that one GOP candidate can pull well ahead in the coming months, earning the nomination on points. It's also possible that even the flawed GOP field can start to do well in matchup polls against Barack Obama. But the Republicans are really in trouble, having a talk with Jeb Bush might not be a bad idea. January 24, 2012 Permalink
SAILING OUT TO CONFRONT THE GREAT SATAN – AT 7:26 P.M. ET: This is sent by my good friend and terrific Iranian freedom activist, Banafsheh Zand-Bonazzi. The title: "Supreme Leader's Representative Heads to Persian Gulf to Close Down the Strait of Hormuz."
I wonder which one is the admiral of the fleet. January 24, 2012 Permalink
IRAN DEFIANT – AT 10:04 A.M. ET: Iran's response to the imposition of new European sanctions on its oil industry is one of defiance, which is standard for the mullahs:
COMMENT: Of course, this could be bluster. Iran recently threatened to shut down the Strait of Hormuz, and even to attack American warships. But an allied flotilla passed through the Strait just a few days ago, without incident. On the other hand, the defiance can be genuine. Remember, no sanctions have ever slowed the Iranian nuclear program, which is the pride of the regime. Iran is widely viewed as being within a year of building its first atomic bomb, and the Iranians could certainly hold out for that year to get the job done. An Iranian bomb would immediately change the way Iran was looked at. The country would have vastly greater leverage than it has today, and I suspect that sanctions would melt away. January 24, 2012 Permalink OH DEAR, THE HYPOCRISY FLOWS – AT 9:28 A.M. ET: Having worked in film and TV – everyone must wallow for a time in moral degeneracy before finding the light – I always marveled at the pomposity and self-love that hangs over these industries. But this one must take some kind of prize. From Fox:
I think I'm having a fainting spell. My pills, my pills!
COMMENT: In an industry of sound effects, the sound film people like most is the sound of cash registers. And as far as Sundance existing for the forgotten "99 percent," yeah, right. The kind of people who attend Sundance wouldn't rub shoulders with that 99 percent. Those are the "flyover" people who volunteer for the military and go to religious services. What kind of peasants could they possibly be? Did they spend their junior years abroad? And as for pomposity, is Redford really saying that people must go to his festival to find out what's happening in America? If that's the case, he should invite Obama to attend. Speaking of someone who's out of touch. January 24, 2012 Permalink
DOES THE GOP DESERVE TO WIN? – AT 8:40 A.M. ET: Bret Stephens, of The Wall Street Journal, is one of the most astute political writers around, and a solid conservative. He writes today, apropos of our first post this morning, that the Republican Party doesn't deserve to win this year. I think you'll be hearing this argument repeated more and more in the weeks to come. It is painful:
And...
COMMENT: Bret nails it! Please read the entire thing. It's one of the most incisive columns I've read on the campaign for president in many weeks. January 24, 2012 Permalink
THE REPUBLICAN CRISIS – AT 8:10 A.M. ET: There was a debate last night in Florida among the remaining Republican candidates for president. There were four – Romney, Gingrich, Santorum, and Ron Paul, if you count Paul as a Republican, which he really isn't. He's a libertarian who didn't even support the Republican presidential ticket in 2008. The debate will be analyzed and dissected, but we must finally ask: Does it really matter? There is a growing discontent with the Republican presidential slate, both within and outside the party. It follows on the unpopularity of the Republican congressional party amidst the general public. True, a party suffers in primary season when its leaders go at each other. Obama has it relatively easy because he's unchallenged for his party's nomination. There is some truth in Jimmy Carter's claim that he was badly damaged in 1980 when Ted Kennedy ran against him for the Democratic nomination, even though Carter was an incumbent Democratic president. The public is turned off by acrimony. But it's worse than that. There are only two serious announced candidates on the GOP side, Romney and Gingrich, and both have grave electability problems. Gingrich's negatives are through the roof, and Romney's, according to a new Washington Post/ABC News poll, are rising rapidly:
Why is that? I suspect it has a great deal to do with Romney's handling of questions dealing with his personal wealth. Yes, yes, I know, we've had rich presidents before. FDR was a patrician, and Kennedy came from wealth. But FDR also had a common touch, had experienced polio, and was seen, rightly or wrongly, as "understanding" the average American. Jack Kennedy was not short of cash, but had served in World War II, had been wounded, and his brother killed. And in neither Roosevelt's nor Kennedy's case did we know many financial details. Romney has now been forced to reveal his finances, on the eve of Obama's State of the Union speech, which will focus on "fairness." Here is a Reuters headline from this morning: How did Romney's IRA grow so big? The story reports that Romney's individual retirement account is worth $101-million. That's not exactly the image you want at a time of stress in the economy. And Romney, apparently a very decent man, often comes off as aloof and out of touch. He is also a Republican, running in a party often seen, and portrayed by the press, as the party of big business. So we have Gingrich, the bomb throwing debater with heavy baggage and a tendency to implode regularly, and Romney, a man who just can't connect. Is it any wonder there's an incipient panic within the Republican Party. The talk is growing every day about a brokered convention, or some new figure coming into the race late. But who is there who is willing to make the effort? This should have been an easy political year for the Republican Party. It isn't. You can have a great message, but you'd better have great messengers to deliver it. In 2010 the Republicans took the House. They could have taken the Senate, but too many Republican candidates were weak or goofy, and the party fell short. The lesson has not been learned. January 24, 2012 Permalink
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